AMEC insights Volume 1 - 2014

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AMEC insights 2014 brings together the series of AMEC briefs and AMEC insights published by the Afro-Middle East Centre in 2014. These two publications, issued regularly by AMEC, seek to document events in the region, analyse what they mean for the people of the region, the African continent and the globe, and chart future scenarios for how events might unfold. This book thus presents the institute’s analyses of the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region for that period, as events unfolded. With 2014 being another tumultuous year in the region, the book covers much ground. It presents the reader with analysis that was done in the midst of dramatic events taking place, and with scenarios for the future in the various contexts. It makes an excellent record of the year, and includes chapters on Algeria, Egypt, Iran, Iraq, the Islamic State group, Israel, Jordan, Libya, Nigeria, the Palestinian people, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Tunisia, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, and Yemen.AMEC Insights 2014 Cover S

The Afro-Middle East Centre publishes, on average, one analysis piece a week, addressing the geopolitical and economic situation of the MENA region. Most of the chapters have been authored or co-authored by researchers at AMEC. Other chapters were authored by researchers outside of AMEC. Of these, some were commissioned by AMEC while others were published in terms of publication-sharing agreements with or permission from other institutions.

AMEC intends annually to publish this collection, as a public record of its analyses for the year, and as a measure too of the value of these analyses.

The chapters in Volume 1 cover the entire MENA region, and include:

  • An analysis of Egypt’s draft constitution: Possible impacts on child labour and unionisation
  • Erdogan and Gülen: A political battle through the courts
  • When voting means very little: Egypt’s constitutional referendum
  • Tunisia’s new constitution and the future of its democratic transition
  • Round Two in Geneva, but no breakthrough in sight for Syria
  • Egypt – cabinet resignations and increasing economic deterioration
  • Parliament moves fast, but still no break in Libyan political gridlock
  • Iranian-American rapprochement: Positions of the main Iranian roleplayers
  • Turkey’s Adalet ve Kalkinma Partisi and the Kurdish question: From conflict to negotiation
  • The pitfalls of weaponry: Undermining legitimacy in Libya
  • Saudi-Qatari tensions and implications for the Persian Gulf
  • Murder, spies and alibis: Behind the rhetoric between Mohammed Dahlan and Mahmoud Abbas
  • Did Erdogan win a popularity contest in Turkey's municipal elections?
  • Egypt’s presidential elections: When the result has already been decided
  • Algerian election may be more about internal regime disputes
  • Is Iraq facing a third term under Maliki?Palestinian reconciliation and the future of Israeli-Palestinian negotiations
  • Erdogan’s march to the presidency: Possible scenarios
  • Negotiations and military action to free Nigerian schoolgirls
  • Israeli foreign minister Lieberman readies for an African safari
  • No surprises in Syria’s presidential election in the midst of civil war
  • Rapid gains by ISIS in Iraq are the result of a political rather than a military crisis
  • Iraq: ISIS has a credibility crisis
  • The real targets of Israel’s Operation Brother’s Keeper is the Hamas-Palestinian Authority unity government
  • Jordan’s Muslim Brotherhood: Struggling to remain relevant
  • Co-ordination between Palestinian Authority and Israeli security forces keeps Palestinian outrage in check
  • Turkey’s presidential election can potentially reconfigure Turkish politics
  • Escalation of Israeli onslaught on Gaza, and no ceasefire in sight
  • From Maracanã to Gaza: ‘Shooting’ and ‘firing’
  • Prospects for the end of Israel’s ‘Operation Protective Edge’
  • Gaza’s challenges for journalism
  • Women in conflict
  • The Arab counterrevolution is in decline
  • Anti-West is far too simplistic a view
  • Regional dimensions to the Libyan conflict
  • Houthi gains in Yemen: Regional and local dimensions
  • Analysing Tunisia’s first post-revolutionary legislative elections
  • The battle for Kobane: Turkey, USA and the future of the Kurds
  • The crisis in northern Sinai worsens
  • Ennahda’s post-election future
  • Tensions in Jerusalem demand political action, not moral outrage











Last modified on Wednesday, 14 October 2015 12:14

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